Broad-based strength across indices overnight, with QQQ +0.85%, TQQQ +2.53%, and semiconductor leverage SOXL +3.45%, signals robust risk appetite. ARM (+11.0%) led on Nvidia Vera CPU optimism boosting royalty growth, while enterprise software plays NOW (+7.8%), WDAY (+5.3%), and ORCL (+7.2%) surged on AI cloud integration catalysts. Retail earnings dominated movers: DLTR beat EPS by 12% and raised guidance (+17.9%), BBY posted same-store sales growth (+17.3%), and DG followed on sympathy (+6.3%). The sole outliers—SNPS (-9.8%) despite earnings beat and TSN (-5.4%) on beef losses—highlight selective profit-taking in chip IP and weakness in commodity-exposed industrials.
Buy near-the-money positions in ARM, SMCI, and NOW given sustained AI infrastructure momentum and multiple tailwinds; avoid SNPS despite fundamentals until chip IP weakness clarifies. Retail sector shows strong earnings resilience—DLTR and BBY remain attractive on forward guidance, but valuations after 17%+ moves warrant limit orders rather than market buys. Monitor NSC merger uncertainty closely; UP-NS deal pause creates tactical short-term headwinds, but long-term infrastructure demand remains supportive.